TTTOM

13:00Tue 27 Oct

FKS

Tomislav Tomislavgrad vs FK Sarajevo

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Kup BiH, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Tomislav Tomislavgrad have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. FK Sarajevo have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L.

The numbers. Tomislav Tomislavgrad score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FK Sarajevo score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FK Sarajevo average 10.1 shots (3.1 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

The case against. Tomislav Tomislavgrad's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. FK Sarajevo or the draw. FK Sarajevo are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Sarajevo Over 0.5 Goals (FK Sarajevo's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Tomislav Tomislavgrad Under 1.5 goals (Tomislav Tomislavgrad's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Tomislav Tomislavgrad 1-1 FK Sarajevo (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

TOM 4 of 5 (80%) · FKS 5 of 5 (100%)91.2%

Tomislav Tomislavgrad: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Sarajevo: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TOM 4 of 5 (80%) · FKS 5 of 5 (100%)91.2%

Tomislav Tomislavgrad: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Sarajevo: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 85%

1.18

TOM 4 of 5 (80%) · FKS 3 of 5 (60%)61.2%

Tomislav Tomislavgrad: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Sarajevo: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

Left off the list: FK Sarajevo Over 0.5 Goals (FK Sarajevo's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Tomislav Tomislavgrad Under 1.5 goals (Tomislav Tomislavgrad's own games don't back it (2 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Tomislav Tomislavgrad goals →

FK Sarajevo goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

TOMISLAV TOMISLAVGRADLLWLDDWLLL0.80 PPG

FK SARAJEVOWDDWLLWWLW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TOMISLAV TOMISLAVGRAD HOMExFK SARAJEVO AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME0.902.50CONCEDED A GAME0.6010%CLEAN SHEETS50%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

TOMISLAV TOMISLAVGRAD OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

FK SARAJEVO OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Tomislav Tomislavgrad have scored in 80% of their games.

FK Sarajevo have scored in 60% of their games.

Tomislav Tomislavgrad kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

FK Sarajevo kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets