Match details. Turkiye Kupasi, 3rd Round. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Orduspor 1967 have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. In this competition Orduspor 1967 have gone W W. Van Spor FK have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. Orduspor 1967 score 3.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Van Spor FK score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Van Spor FK average 10.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
The case against. A knockout game (3rd Round) with penalties if level, and Orduspor 1967 are not clearly stronger. Van Spor FK's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Orduspor 1967 or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Orduspor 1967 the likelier winners; Orduspor 1967 are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 98% on the records (Orduspor 1967: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Van Spor FK: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Orduspor 1967 Over 1.5 goals (Van Spor FK's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Orduspor 1967 2-1 Van Spor FK (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).