Gornik Leczna vs GKS Katowice
Match details. Puchar Polski, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Gornik Leczna have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. GKS Katowice have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Gornik Leczna score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Gornik Leczna average 14.6 shots (4.1 on target), 9.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. GKS Katowice score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. GKS Katowice average 15.5 shots (4.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Gornik Leczna have won one, drawn three and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, three were drawn and GKS Katowice won one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2024, it finished Gornik Leczna 0-0 GKS Katowice.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 17% against the records' 55%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Gornik Leczna are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Gornik Leczna the likelier winners; Gornik Leczna are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gornik Leczna. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 72% on the records (Gornik Leczna: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; GKS Katowice: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). The safer one: Gornik Leczna or GKS Katowice at 1.18 (85%). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: GKS Katowice or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Gornik Leczna); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); GKS Katowice or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Gornik Leczna). Predicted score: Gornik Leczna 2-1 GKS Katowice (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).