Match details. Kocaelispor host Mazidagi Fosfat Spor in the Turkiye Kupasi 3rd Round. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct at 16:00 Lagos time at Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Kocaelispor have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, getting 1.5 points a game. Their last five read W L L W L. Mazidagi Fosfat Spor have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, taking 1.9 points a game. Their last five show D D W W W, and in this competition they have gone W.
The numbers. Kocaelispor score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 13.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Mazidagi Fosfat Spor score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mazidagi Fosfat Spor average 0.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree here. The odds board makes it 2% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Mazidagi Fosfat Spor are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Mazidagi Fosfat Spor are the stronger side on form and the table, with both teams' records favouring them. Their goals for and against point to a tight game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kocaelispor 0-1 Mazidagi Fosfat Spor (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).