Etimesgut Belediyespor vs Gaziantep FK
Match details. Turkiye Kupasi action comes from Etimesgut Belediyesi Atatürk Stadı for this 3rd Round tie. Kick-off is set for 11:30 Lagos time on Tue 27 Oct.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Etimesgut Belediyespor have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, taking 2.3 points a game. Their last five read W D D W W, and in this competition they have gone W. Gaziantep FK have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, getting 0.8 points a game, with a recent run of L L L L D.
The numbers. At home, Etimesgut Belediyespor score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five, keeping four clean sheets. They average 10.0 shots (3.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.8 cards. Gaziantep FK score one and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 13.8 shots (3.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.5 cards, with 50% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree here. The odds board makes it 12% against the records' 68%.
The read. No firm call: Etimesgut Belediyespor are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Etimesgut Belediyespor the likelier winners, though their goals for and against also point to a tight game. Etimesgut Belediyespor are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour them. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Etimesgut Belediyespor 1-0 Gaziantep FK (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).