CDCDD

20:30Tue 27 Oct

CDE

CD Don Benito vs CD Extremadura

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CD Don Benito have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. CD Extremadura have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L.

The numbers. CD Don Benito score 3.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CD Don Benito average 9.3 shots (3.8 on target), 1.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CD Extremadura score 2.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. CD Extremadura average 10.6 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

The case against. CD Don Benito's record still gives them 43% to win.

The read. CD Extremadura or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Don Benito the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Don Benito 2-2 CD Extremadura (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Extremadura or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDD 5 of 6 (83%) · CDE 6 of 8 (75%)73.5%

CD Extremadura: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · CD Don Benito: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Extremadura's level

CD Extremadura or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.32

CDD 5 of 6 (83%) · CDE 5 of 8 (62%)68.1%

CD Extremadura: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · CD Don Benito: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Extremadura's level

CD Extremadura or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

CDD 3 of 5 (60%) · CDE 4 of 8 (50%)53.3%

CD Extremadura scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Don Benito trailed or failed to win in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues)

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.23

CDD 6 of 8 (75%) · CDE 5 of 6 (83%)65.9%

CD Don Benito: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Extremadura: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 68% · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Extremadura's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.73

CDD 5 of 8 (62%) · CDE 5 of 6 (83%)60.4%

CD Don Benito: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Extremadura: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 61% · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Extremadura's level

CD DON BENITO GOALS

CD Don Benito Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.38

CDD 7 of 8 (88%) · CDE 5 of 6 (83%)74.3%

CD Don Benito scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Extremadura conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 84% · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Extremadura's level

CD EXTREMADURA GOALS

CD Extremadura Over 0.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.17

CDD 5 of 6 (83%) · CDE 5 of 8 (62%)68.1%

CD Extremadura scored in 5 of 6 away · CD Don Benito conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Extremadura's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.34

CDD 6 of 8 (75%) · CDE 5 of 6 (83%)75.3%

CD Don Benito: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Extremadura: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 68% · on half-time scores · CD Don Benito: only games against sides at CD Extremadura's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 6.9%

CD Don Benito goals →

CD Extremadura goals ↓

0-03%

1-05%

2-06%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-14%

1-19%

2-19%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-22%

5-20.9%

0-32%

1-34%

2-34%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-40.7%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.9%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.2%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD DON BENITOWDWWDWLLWD1.80 PPG

CD EXTREMADURAWLWLLLWWDW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD DON BENITO HOMExCD EXTREMADURA AWAY

2.30SCORED A GAME1.801.30CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS20%12%FAILED TO SCORE33%1.83CORNERS A GAME4.252.50CARDS A GAME2.62

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.75POINTS A GAME1.25+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+0.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.31.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

59%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 85/90

CD DON BENITO OR DRAW

79%

NO · 80/85

CD EXTREMADURA OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD DON BENITOxCD EXTREMADURA

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.202.00CONCEDED A GAME1.203.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CD Don Benito have scored in 90% of their games.

CD Extremadura have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Don Benito kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

CD Extremadura kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards