STSDA

20:00Tue 27 Oct

CDM

SDA Tordesillas vs CD Mirandes

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Las Salinas.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. SDA Tordesillas have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L. CD Mirandes have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.

The numbers. SDA Tordesillas score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. SDA Tordesillas average 7.2 shots (2.8 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game. CD Mirandes score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Mirandes average 11.3 shots (4.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make SDA Tordesillas the likelier winners, but CD Mirandes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SDA Tordesillas.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SDA Tordesillas 2-1 CD Mirandes (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

SDA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDM 3 of 6 (50%)73.3%

SDA Tordesillas: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Mirandes: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.34

SDA 4 of 5 (80%) · CDM 4 of 6 (67%)73.9%

SDA Tordesillas: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CD Mirandes: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.5%

SDA Tordesillas goals →

CD Mirandes goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SDA TORDESILLASLLLLDLWDWD0.90 PPG

CD MIRANDESLLWWDWLDLW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SDA TORDESILLAS HOMExCD MIRANDES AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.201.70CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS30%25%FAILED TO SCORE33%2.50CORNERS A GAME5.002.75CARDS A GAME3.00

TRENDS

SDA Tordesillas have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Mirandes have scored in 60% of their games.

SDA Tordesillas kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

CD Mirandes kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards