Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CD Ciudad de Lucena have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. CF Rayo Majadahonda have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. CD Ciudad de Lucena score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. CD Ciudad de Lucena average 9.1 shots (3.9 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.4 cards a game. CF Rayo Majadahonda score one and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. CF Rayo Majadahonda average 9.6 shots (3.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. CD Ciudad de Lucena's record still gives them 55% to win.
The read. CF Rayo Majadahonda or the draw. CD Ciudad de Lucena are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Ciudad de Lucena.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CD Ciudad de Lucena 1-1 CF Rayo Majadahonda (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
CDC 9 of 10 (90%) · CFR 10 of 10 (100%)95.6%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
CDC 8 of 10 (80%) · CFR 6 of 10 (60%)61.2%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA GOALS
CD Ciudad de Lucena Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.38
CDC 9 of 10 (90%) · CFR 8 of 10 (80%)74.4%
CD Ciudad de Lucena scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
CF RAYO MAJADAHONDA GOALS
CF Rayo Majadahonda Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.21
CDC 6 of 10 (60%) · CFR 7 of 10 (70%)63.1%
CF Rayo Majadahonda scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.46
CDC 7 of 10 (70%) · CFR 8 of 10 (80%)75%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Rayo Majadahonda: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.8%
CD Ciudad de Lucena goals →
CF Rayo Majadahonda goals ↓
0-010%
1-011%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENALWDDLWWWWD1.80 PPG
CF RAYO MAJADAHONDAWLLDWLLLLW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA HOMExCF RAYO MAJADAHONDA AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE44%3.71CORNERS A GAME5.443.43CARDS A GAME2.78
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.88POINTS A GAME0.78+0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33-0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.52.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.68LEAGUE GAMES9
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
63%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CF RAYO MAJADAHONDA OR DRAW
20%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENAxCF RAYO MAJADAHONDA
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME0.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%6.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Ciudad de Lucena have scored in 90% of their games.
CF Rayo Majadahonda have scored in 60% of their games.
CD Ciudad de Lucena kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
CF Rayo Majadahonda kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards