CCCFC

19:00Tue 27 Oct

CEE

CF Calamocha vs CE Europa

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Polideportivo Jumaya.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CF Calamocha have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. CE Europa have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.

The numbers. CF Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CE Europa score 0.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. CE Europa average 10.2 shots (3.4 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

The case against. CF Calamocha's record still gives them 48% to win.

The read. CE Europa or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF Calamocha the likelier winners; CF Calamocha are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Calamocha. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CF Calamocha 1-1 CE Europa (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

CFC 4 of 5 (80%) · CEE 10 of 10 (100%)91.2%

CF Calamocha: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CE Europa: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

CE EUROPA GOALS

CE Europa Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.17

CFC 6 of 10 (60%) · CEE 4 of 5 (80%)67.5%

CE Europa scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF Calamocha conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.11

CFC 5 of 5 (100%) · CEE 10 of 10 (100%)98.3%

CF Calamocha: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · CE Europa: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.20

CFC 4 of 5 (80%) · CEE 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%

CF Calamocha: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CE Europa: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.46

CFC 4 of 5 (80%) · CEE 8 of 10 (80%)80%

CF Calamocha: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CE Europa: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

CF Calamocha goals →

CE Europa goals ↓

0-010%

1-012%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CF CALAMOCHAWWLLWLLLDD1.10 PPG

CE EUROPADLDLLWLWLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CF CALAMOCHA HOMExCE EUROPA AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME0.701.70CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS20%62%FAILED TO SCORE44%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.62POINTS A GAME0.78-1.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.30.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES9

CE Europa: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CF CALAMOCHA OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

CE EUROPA OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CF CALAMOCHAxCE EUROPA

5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME0.801.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CF Calamocha have scored in 50% of their games.

CE Europa have scored in 60% of their games.

CF Calamocha kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

CE Europa kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets