Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. NEC FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W D. Ntugasaze FC have won two, drawn none and lost five of their last seven, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. NEC FC score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. NEC FC average 12.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Ntugasaze FC score 0.9 and concede 1.9 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ntugasaze FC average 10.3 shots (3.7 on target), 3.2 corners and 0.6 cards a game.
The read. NEC FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make NEC FC the likelier winners; NEC FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NEC FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: NEC FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); NEC FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: NEC FC 1-0 Ntugasaze FC (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
NEC FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEC 6 of 7 (86%) · NTU 6 of 6 (100%)93.8%
NEC FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ntugasaze FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · NEC FC: only games against sides at Ntugasaze FC's level · Ntugasaze FC: only games against sides at NEC FC's level
NEC FC or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEC 5 of 7 (71%) · NTU 5 of 6 (83%)67.7%
NEC FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ntugasaze FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · NEC FC: only games against sides at Ntugasaze FC's level · Ntugasaze FC: only games against sides at NEC FC's level
NEC FC to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
NEC 4 of 7 (57%) · NTU 5 of 6 (83%)61.4%
NEC FC won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ntugasaze FC lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · NEC FC: only games against sides at Ntugasaze FC's level · Ntugasaze FC: only games against sides at NEC FC's level
1X2 - 2UP: NEC FCLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
NEC 2 of 5 (40%) · NTU 4 of 7 (57%)60.2%
NEC FC scored first 1 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 2 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ntugasaze FC trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · NEC FC: only games against sides at Ntugasaze FC's level · Ntugasaze FC: only games against sides at NEC FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEC 7 of 7 (100%) · NTU 6 of 6 (100%)100%
NEC FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ntugasaze FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · NEC FC: only games against sides at Ntugasaze FC's level · Ntugasaze FC: only games against sides at NEC FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
NEC 6 of 7 (86%) · NTU 5 of 6 (83%)86.4%
NEC FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ntugasaze FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · NEC FC: only games against sides at Ntugasaze FC's level · Ntugasaze FC: only games against sides at NEC FC's level
NEC FC GOALS
NEC FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEC 5 of 7 (71%) · NTU 5 of 6 (83%)67.7%
NEC FC scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ntugasaze FC conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · NEC FC: only games against sides at Ntugasaze FC's level · Ntugasaze FC: only games against sides at NEC FC's level
Left off the list: NEC FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 1.5 Cards (the numbers (52%) and the records (100%) are 48 points apart, and nothing settles it); NEC FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–012.4%
NEC FC goals →
Ntugasaze FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-012%
2-012%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11.0%
0-22%
1-24%
2-24%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-30.7%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.1%
1-40.2%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
NEC FCLWDWDWWLWW2.00 PPG
NTUGASAZE FCLWLLLLW0.86 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NEC FC HOMExNTUGASAZE FC AWAY
1.71SCORED A GAME0.500.57CONCEDED A GAME2.1740%CLEAN SHEETS29%4.86CORNERS A GAME3.171.50CARDS A GAME0.57
TRENDS
NEC FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Ntugasaze FC have scored in 57% of their games.
NEC FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Ntugasaze FC kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards