Olimpia Grudziadz vs Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza
Match details. Puchar Polski, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Sportowy Wda.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Olimpia Grudziadz have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. In this competition Olimpia Grudziadz have gone W. Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza have gone W.
The numbers. Olimpia Grudziadz score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Olimpia Grudziadz average 14.9 shots (4.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza average 12.6 shots (4.7 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Olimpia Grudziadz have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 12 Jun 2020, it finished Olimpia Grudziadz 3-3 Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Olimpia Grudziadz are not clearly stronger. Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Olimpia Grudziadz or the draw. An open game. Olimpia Grudziadz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Olimpia Grudziadz. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 76% on the records (Olimpia Grudziadz: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Olimpia Grudziadz); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).