LKP Motor Lublin vs Rakow Czestochowa
Match details. Puchar Polski, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Motor Lublin Arena.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. LKP Motor Lublin have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. In this competition LKP Motor Lublin have gone W. Rakow Czestochowa have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. LKP Motor Lublin score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. LKP Motor Lublin average 19.1 shots (6.3 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Rakow Czestochowa score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Rakow Czestochowa average 16.0 shots (5.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings LKP Motor Lublin have won none, drawn two and lost four. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, two were drawn and Rakow Czestochowa won two. The last time they met, on 11 Sep 2026, it finished LKP Motor Lublin 1-2 Rakow Czestochowa: LKP Motor Lublin had 16 shots to 15, 48% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: LKP Motor Lublin are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Rakow Czestochowa.
The case against. Rakow Czestochowa's record still gives them 38% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. LKP Motor Lublin to win. An open game. LKP Motor Lublin are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Rakow Czestochowa. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: LKP Motor Lublin 1UP at 1.62, 72% on the records (LKP Motor Lublin scored first 1 of last 5, led in 3; led in 4 of 7 at home). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19 (77%). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (LKP Motor Lublin are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (LKP Motor Lublin are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: LKP Motor Lublin 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).