CD Manacor vs Villarreal
Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Poliesportiu Municipal Na Capellera, Manacor.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CD Manacor have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. Villarreal have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L.
The numbers. CD Manacor score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Villarreal score two and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Villarreal average 16.9 shots (5.5 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
The case against. CD Manacor's record still gives them 66% to win.
The read. Villarreal to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Manacor the likelier winners; CD Manacor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Manacor. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Villarreal are a clear winner, no Unders); Villarreal Over 1.5 Goals (CD Manacor's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Villarreal are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CD Manacor 1-2 Villarreal (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).