RSD Alcala SAD vs Las Palmas
Match details. It is Copa del Rey action in the Round of 128 as RSD Alcala SAD host Las Palmas. Kick-off is set for Tue 27 Oct at 20:00 Lagos time. The match takes place at Estadio Municipal Virgen del Val, Alcalá de Henares.
What's at stake. It is a one-game tie, with penalties if it is level.
Form. RSD Alcala SAD have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, taking 0.9 points a game. Their last five read L D D L L. Las Palmas have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, averaging 1.1 points a game, with a W L L D L run.
The numbers. RSD Alcala SAD score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. They average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 5.4 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Las Palmas score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, keeping two clean sheets. They average 10.1 shots (3.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
The case against. RSD Alcala SAD's record still gives them 43% to win.
The read. Las Palmas to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make RSD Alcala SAD the likelier winners and point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Las Palmas are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Las Palmas are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: RSD Alcala SAD 1-2 Las Palmas (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).