Sestao River Club vs Espanyol
Match details. Sestao River Club host Espanyol in the Copa del Rey Round of 128. Kick-off is set for Tue 27 Oct at 19:00 Lagos time at Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Sestao River Club have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, averaging 2.5 points a game. Their last five read W W W D W. Espanyol have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, getting 0.8 points a game. Their last five read L L D L L.
The numbers. Sestao River Club score two and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. They average 13.4 shots with 3.9 on target, 7.3 corners and 2.8 cards. Espanyol score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. They average 12.6 shots with 3.1 on target, 3.1 corners and 3.1 cards, holding 46% of the ball.
The case against. Sestao River Club's record still gives them 71% to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records also put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. Espanyol to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sestao River Club the likelier winners. Sestao River Club are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour Sestao River Club.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Espanyol Over 0.5 goals (Sestao River Club's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Espanyol are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Espanyol are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Sestao River Club 1-2 Espanyol (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).