CCCDC

18:30Tue 27 Oct

GIR

GIR

CD Cuarte vs Girona

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Nuevo Estadio Municipal Cuarte de Huerva.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CD Cuarte have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. Girona have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W.

The numbers. CD Cuarte score 1.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Girona score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Girona average 13.9 shots (4.9 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 45%.

The read. No firm call: Girona are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Girona the likelier winners; Girona are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Girona. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Girona are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Girona are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CD Cuarte 1-2 Girona (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Girona or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDC 9 of 10 (90%) · GIR 10 of 10 (100%)96.2%

Girona: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cuarte: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Girona or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.10

CDC 8 of 10 (80%) · GIR 7 of 10 (70%)81.2%

Girona: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cuarte: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

CDC 9 of 10 (90%) · GIR 9 of 10 (90%)92.5%

CD Cuarte: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Girona: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

CDC 6 of 10 (60%) · GIR 5 of 10 (50%)60%

CD Cuarte: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Girona: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

CDC 8 of 10 (80%) · GIR 9 of 10 (90%)85%

CD Cuarte: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Girona: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.16

CDC 10 of 10 (100%) · GIR 6 of 10 (60%)80%

CD Cuarte: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Girona: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Girona are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Girona are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.3%

CD Cuarte goals →

Girona goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-17%

1-111%

2-17%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-34%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.7%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.6%

1-50.8%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD CUARTELDWWLLWDDW1.50 PPG

GIRONALWWLWWDDWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD CUARTE HOMExGIRONA AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME2.101.30CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS40%12%FAILED TO SCORE9%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR GIRONA (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

CD Cuarte have scored in 90% of their games.

Girona have scored in 90% of their games.

CD Cuarte kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Girona kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets