Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya.
What's at stake. Persebaya Surabaya are 7th on 12 points after 7 games, level on points with Persita, 1 point clear of Bhayangkara FC. A win would take them above Persita. Persijap Jepara are 18th on 1 point after 7 games, 1 point behind PSIM Yogyakarta. A win would take them above PSIM Yogyakarta.
Form. Persebaya Surabaya have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. Persijap Jepara have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. Persebaya Surabaya score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Persebaya Surabaya average 13.4 shots (5.5 on target), 7.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Persijap Jepara score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Persijap Jepara average 7.9 shots (3.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Persebaya Surabaya have won one, drawn none and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Persebaya Surabaya 1-3 Persijap Jepara.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 80% against the records' 60%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. No firm call: Persebaya Surabaya are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Persebaya Surabaya the likelier winners; Persebaya Surabaya are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Persebaya Surabaya.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Persebaya Surabaya are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Persebaya Surabaya are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Persijap Jepara (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).