Match details. Coppa Italia Serie C, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Union Brescia have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. In this competition Union Brescia have gone W. AS Cittadella have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition AS Cittadella have gone W.
The numbers. Union Brescia score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Union Brescia average 12.7 shots (5.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AS Cittadella score 1.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. AS Cittadella average 12.9 shots (4.5 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Union Brescia have won two, drawn one and lost none. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 24 Oct 2026, it finished Union Brescia 2-1 AS Cittadella.
Where it pulls both ways. AS Cittadella are the form side, but the meetings favour Union Brescia: in the last three meetings, Union Brescia won two and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Union Brescia or Both Teams Score (no result call); Union Brescia or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Union Brescia 1-2 AS Cittadella (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).