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ITALY - COPPA ITALIA SERIE C
Union Brescia crestUBUNI
20:30Wed 28 Oct
ASCAS Cittadella crestAC

Union Brescia vs AS Cittadella

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. Coppa Italia Serie C, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Union Brescia have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. In this competition Union Brescia have gone W. AS Cittadella have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition AS Cittadella have gone W.

The numbers. Union Brescia score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Union Brescia average 12.7 shots (5.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AS Cittadella score 1.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. AS Cittadella average 12.9 shots (4.5 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Union Brescia have won two, drawn one and lost none. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 24 Oct 2026, it finished Union Brescia 2-1 AS Cittadella.

Where it pulls both ways. AS Cittadella are the form side, but the meetings favour Union Brescia: in the last three meetings, Union Brescia won two and one was drawn.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Union Brescia or Both Teams Score (no result call); Union Brescia or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Union Brescia 1-2 AS Cittadella (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UNI 5 of 5 (100%) · ASC 9 of 9 (100%)98.4%
Union Brescia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · AS Cittadella: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 3 · Union Brescia: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Union Brescia's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
UNI 4 of 5 (80%) · ASC 7 of 9 (78%)81.6%
Union Brescia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AS Cittadella: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 3 · Union Brescia: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Union Brescia's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.75
UNI 3 of 5 (60%) · ASC 4 of 9 (44%)58.4%
Union Brescia: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · AS Cittadella: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 3 of 3 · Union Brescia: only games against sides at AS Cittadella's level · AS Cittadella: only games against sides at Union Brescia's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Union Brescia or Both Teams Score (no result call); Union Brescia or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); AS Cittadella or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.9%
Union Brescia goals →
AS Cittadella goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
UNION BRESCIAWWDDWDDWLW1.90 PPG
AS CITTADELLAWWWWWWLWWL2.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UNION BRESCIA HOMExAS CITTADELLA AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.901.00CONCEDED A GAME0.7040%CLEAN SHEETS50%9%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.60CORNERS A GAME6.102.10CARDS A GAME2.10
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME2.40+0.91GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00+2.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.11.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.811LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
100%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
UNION BRESCIA OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
AS CITTADELLA OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UNION BRESCIAxAS CITTADELLA
6GAMES51.83SCORED A GAME1.400.83CONCEDED A GAME0.602.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.083%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%67%BOTH SCORE40%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.410.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
UNION BRESCIA 2 · 67%DRAW 1AS CITTADELLA 0 · 0%
3 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-12-01Union Brescia 1 – 1 AS Cittadella
2026-04-03Union Brescia 2 – 1 AS Cittadella
2026-10-24Union Brescia 2 – 1 AS Cittadella
TRENDS
Union Brescia have scored in 90% of their games.
AS Cittadella have scored in 100% of their games.
Union Brescia kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
AS Cittadella kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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