Match details. Coppa Italia Serie C, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Spezia Calcio have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Spezia Calcio have gone W. US Livorno 1915 have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W.
The numbers. Spezia Calcio score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Spezia Calcio average 12.4 shots (4.7 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. US Livorno 1915 score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. US Livorno 1915 average 10.5 shots (4.2 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. Spezia Calcio have won all of the last five meetings. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Spezia Calcio won four. The last time they met, on 12 Sep 2026, it finished Spezia Calcio 2-0 US Livorno 1915.
The read. Spezia Calcio to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Spezia Calcio the likelier winners; Spezia Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spezia Calcio; the meetings favour Spezia Calcio. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Spezia Calcio or Draw at 1.16, 96% on the records (Spezia Calcio unbeaten in 9 of 9; US Livorno 1915 failed to win 5 of 5 away). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Spezia Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Spezia Calcio Over 1.5 goals (US Livorno 1915's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Spezia Calcio 1-0 US Livorno 1915 (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Spezia Calcio or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPE 5 of 5 (100%) · USL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Spezia Calcio scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · US Livorno 1915 trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
Spezia Calcio or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPE 9 of 9 (100%) · USL 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
Spezia Calcio: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level
Double Chance: Spezia Calcio or DrawMAININ CODES
1.16
SPE 9 of 9 (100%) · USL 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
Spezia Calcio unbeaten in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915 failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level
Spezia Calcio or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPE 9 of 9 (100%) · USL 4 of 5 (80%)92.5%
Spezia Calcio: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level
Spezia Calcio (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.24
SPE 8 of 8 (100%) · USL 3 of 6 (50%)81.3%
Spezia Calcio won 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · US Livorno 1915 lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level · won 6, refunded 4, lost 0
Spezia Calcio or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPE 7 of 9 (78%) · USL 4 of 5 (80%)75.4%
Spezia Calcio: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · H2H 4 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level
Spezia Calcio to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
SPE 8 of 9 (89%) · USL 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Spezia Calcio won 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915 lost 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 59% · H2H 5 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level
Spezia Calcio 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPE 5 of 5 (100%) · USL 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Spezia Calcio scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 5 of 5 at home · US Livorno 1915 trailed in 2 of 5 away
Spezia Calcio Win & Over 1.5SETTLEDPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPE 6 of 9 (67%) · USL 2 of 5 (40%)57.5%
Spezia Calcio: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 43% · H2H 4 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level · rule 2: the meetings back Spezia Calcio: in the last 5 meetings, Spezia Calcio won 5; in the last 4, Spezia Calcio w
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPE 9 of 9 (100%) · USL 5 of 5 (100%)98.8%
Spezia Calcio: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SPE 9 of 9 (100%) · USL 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
Spezia Calcio: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
SPE 8 of 9 (89%) · USL 5 of 5 (100%)87.1%
Spezia Calcio: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level
SPEZIA CALCIO GOALS
Spezia Calcio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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SPE 9 of 9 (100%) · USL 4 of 5 (80%)92.5%
Spezia Calcio scored in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Livorno 1915 conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 5 · Spezia Calcio: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at Spezia Calcio's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Spezia Calcio or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Spezia Calcio Over 1.5 goals (US Livorno 1915's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Spezia Calcio or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–014.2%
Spezia Calcio goals →
US Livorno 1915 goals ↓
0-010%
1-014%
2-012%
3-06%
4-03%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-23%
1-24%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-30.7%
1-31%
2-30.9%
3-30.5%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.1%
1-40.2%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SPEZIA CALCIOWWWWWWWWWD2.80 PPG
US LIVORNO 1915DWLWDWLDDL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SPEZIA CALCIO HOMExUS LIVORNO 1915 AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.400.40CONCEDED A GAME1.5060%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE27%5.80CORNERS A GAME3.702.00CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.80POINTS A GAME1.30+1.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.10+5.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.12.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.010LEAGUE GAMES10
Spezia Calcio: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
SPEZIA CALCIO 2:0 HANDICAP
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389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
45%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SPEZIA CALCIO OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
US LIVORNO 1915 OR DRAW
38%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SPEZIA CALCIOxUS LIVORNO 1915
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.600.40CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.46.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.