Match details. Coppa Italia Serie C, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Zugni Tauro, Feltre.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Dolomiti Bellunesi have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Calcio Desenzano have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. In this competition Calcio Desenzano have gone W.
The numbers. Dolomiti Bellunesi score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Dolomiti Bellunesi average 8.5 shots (3.1 on target), 1.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Calcio Desenzano score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Calcio Desenzano average 8.9 shots (3.1 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 10 Oct 2026, it finished Dolomiti Bellunesi 0-2 Calcio Desenzano.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Calcio Desenzano are not clearly stronger. Dolomiti Bellunesi's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Calcio Desenzano or the draw. Calcio Desenzano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Calcio Desenzano.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Calcio Desenzano at 1.46, 78% on the records (Calcio Desenzano unbeaten in 3 of 5 away; Dolomiti Bellunesi failed to win 5 of 5 at home). Predicted score: Dolomiti Bellunesi 1-1 Calcio Desenzano (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).