Enfield Town vs Chatham Town
Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Enfield Town are 1st on 28 points after 12 games, 1 point clear of Welling United. Chatham Town are 4th on 24 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Lewes, level on points with Dartford. A win would take them above Lewes.
Form. Enfield Town have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition Enfield Town have gone D W W W L W. Chatham Town have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Chatham Town have gone W W L W W L.
The numbers. Enfield Town score 2.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Enfield Town average 5.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Chatham Town score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chatham Town average 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Enfield Town have won one, drawn one and lost one. Three of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 6 May 2024, it finished Enfield Town 3-0 Chatham Town.
The case against. Chatham Town's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Enfield Town to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Enfield Town the likelier winners; Enfield Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Enfield Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%. Three of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 79% on the records (Enfield Town: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Chatham Town: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Enfield Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Enfield Town Over 1.5 Goals (Chatham Town's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Enfield Town 2-1 Chatham Town (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).