ASARO

21:00Tue 27 Oct

PON

Arosa SC vs Pontevedra CF

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Arosa SC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. Pontevedra CF have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D.

The numbers. Arosa SC score 2.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Arosa SC average 10.0 shots (3.7 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Pontevedra CF score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Pontevedra CF average 6.1 shots (2.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Arosa SC have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 17 Apr 2022, it finished Arosa SC 1-1 Pontevedra CF.

The case against. Arosa SC's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Pontevedra CF or the draw. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Arosa SC 1-2 Pontevedra CF (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Pontevedra CF or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARO 10 of 10 (100%) · PON 5 of 5 (100%)92.3%

Pontevedra CF: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level

Pontevedra CF or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.33

ARO 7 of 10 (70%) · PON 5 of 5 (100%)77.7%

Pontevedra CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level

Pontevedra CF or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.15

ARO 3 of 5 (60%) · PON 7 of 10 (70%)71.1%

Pontevedra CF scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues)

Pontevedra CF 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

ARO 3 of 5 (60%) · PON 6 of 10 (60%)56.7%

Pontevedra CF scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC trailed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues)

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

ARO 5 of 5 (100%) · PON 8 of 10 (80%)75.9%

Arosa SC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Pontevedra CF: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.83

ARO 5 of 5 (100%) · PON 5 of 10 (50%)61.2%

Arosa SC: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Pontevedra CF: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level

AROSA SC GOALS

Arosa SC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.51

ARO 4 of 5 (80%) · PON 8 of 10 (80%)68.5%

Arosa SC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Pontevedra CF conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level

PONTEVEDRA CF GOALS

Pontevedra CF Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

ARO 9 of 10 (90%) · PON 5 of 5 (100%)86.5%

Pontevedra CF scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arosa SC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

ARO 4 of 5 (80%) · PON 9 of 10 (90%)85%

Arosa SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Pontevedra CF: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Arosa SC: only games against sides at Pontevedra CF's level · Pontevedra CF: only games against sides at Arosa SC's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.6%

Arosa SC goals →

Pontevedra CF goals ↓

0-03%

1-04%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.3%

0-15%

1-19%

2-17%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-29%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.5%

0-33%

1-36%

2-35%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.3%

0-42%

1-43%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.5%

5-40.2%

0-50.6%

1-51%

2-50.9%

3-50.5%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

AROSA SCWWDLDLDDWL1.30 PPG

PONTEVEDRA CFDWWLDDLLWW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AROSA SC HOMExPONTEVEDRA CF AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.401.90CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS20%38%FAILED TO SCORE11%5.83CORNERS A GAME4.302.17CARDS A GAME2.60

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.88POINTS A GAME1.56-0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.11-1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.81.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES9

Pontevedra CF: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

AROSA SC OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

PONTEVEDRA CF OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AROSA SCxPONTEVEDRA CF

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.203.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

AROSA SC 0 · 0%DRAW 1PONTEVEDRA CF 1 · 50%

2021-11-28Arosa SC 0 – 1 Pontevedra CF

2022-04-17Arosa SC 1 – 1 Pontevedra CF

TRENDS

Arosa SC have scored in 70% of their games.

Pontevedra CF have scored in 90% of their games.

Arosa SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Pontevedra CF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards