EFENE

18:00Tue 27 Oct

TAF

Enesia FC vs Tafic FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Enesia FC are 12th on 5 points after 6 games, level on points with Township Rollers, 1 point clear of Matebele. A win would take them above Township Rollers. Tafic FC are 8th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Extension Gunners, 1 point clear of Galaxy. A win would take them above Extension Gunners.

Form. Enesia FC have won one, drawn two and lost three of their last six, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. Tafic FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L.

The numbers. Enesia FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. Enesia FC average 9.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Tafic FC score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tafic FC average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The case against. Enesia FC's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. Tafic FC or the draw. A tight game. Tafic FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Tafic FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Enesia FC 1-1 Tafic FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tafic FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ENE 4 of 5 (80%) · TAF 6 of 6 (100%)91.2%

Tafic FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Enesia FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Tafic FC: only games against sides at Enesia FC's level · Enesia FC: only games against sides at Tafic FC's level

Double Chance: Draw or Tafic FCLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

ENE 3 of 5 (60%) · TAF 5 of 6 (83%)64.6%

Tafic FC unbeaten in 3 of 5 away · Enesia FC failed to win 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Tafic FC: only games against sides at Enesia FC's level · Enesia FC: only games against sides at Tafic FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ENE 5 of 6 (83%) · TAF 5 of 5 (100%)96.1%

Enesia FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tafic FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 92% · Enesia FC: only games against sides at Tafic FC's level · Tafic FC: only games against sides at Enesia FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ENE 5 of 6 (83%) · TAF 5 of 5 (100%)90.1%

Enesia FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tafic FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 87% · Enesia FC: only games against sides at Tafic FC's level · Tafic FC: only games against sides at Enesia FC's level

ENESIA FC GOALS

Enesia FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ENE 6 of 6 (100%) · TAF 3 of 5 (60%)65%

Enesia FC scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tafic FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Enesia FC: only games against sides at Tafic FC's level · Tafic FC: only games against sides at Enesia FC's level

TAFIC FC GOALS

Tafic FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ENE 3 of 5 (60%) · TAF 5 of 6 (83%)66.6%

Tafic FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Enesia FC conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Tafic FC: only games against sides at Enesia FC's level · Enesia FC: only games against sides at Tafic FC's level

Left off the list: Tafic FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Enesia FC goals →

Tafic FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ENESIA FCDWDLLL0.83 PPG

TAFIC FCLWDWWLWWDD1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ENESIA FC HOMExTAFIC FC AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME1.701.83CONCEDED A GAME0.8017%CLEAN SHEETS50%0%FAILED TO SCORE20%9.00CORNERS A GAME4.003.00CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

39%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ENESIA FC OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

TAFIC FC OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Enesia FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Tafic FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Enesia FC kept a clean sheet in 17% of their games.

Tafic FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards