EDGE PICKBrabrand IF Over 0.5 goals · 74.6% · @1.46
Book 68% · Us 75%+7
Backed by
Brabrand IF scored in 5 of 6 at home · AC Horsens conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
· main loses on: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 4-0, 3-2, 4-1, 5-0, 4-2, 5-1, 6-0 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. DBU Pokalen, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Brabrand IF's Idrætsanlæg.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Brabrand IF have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. AC Horsens have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. In this competition AC Horsens have gone W W.
The numbers. Brabrand IF score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Brabrand IF average 0.0 cards a game. AC Horsens score three and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AC Horsens average 15.2 shots (6.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 23 Sep 2014, it finished Brabrand IF 1-2 AC Horsens.
The case against. Brabrand IF's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. AC Horsens to win. An open game. AC Horsens are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or AC Horsens at 1.17, 72% on the records (AC Horsens unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Brabrand IF failed to win 4 of 6 at home). Full cover: Brabrand IF Over 0.5 Goals at 1.46. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (AC Horsens are a clear winner, no Unders); AC Horsens or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways); Brabrand IF Under 1.5 goals (AC Horsens's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Brabrand IF 1-2 AC Horsens (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AC Horsens or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BRA 5 of 5 (100%) · ACH 5 of 6 (83%)93.3%
AC Horsens: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Brabrand IF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 90%
AC Horsens win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.10
BRA 4 of 5 (80%) · ACH 5 of 6 (83%)85.8%
AC Horsens: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Brabrand IF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%
Double Chance: Draw or AC HorsensMAININ CODES
1.17
BRA 4 of 5 (80%) · ACH 4 of 6 (67%)79.2%
AC Horsens unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Brabrand IF failed to win 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70%
AC Horsens or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.12
BRA 4 of 5 (80%) · ACH 6 of 8 (75%)78.3%
AC Horsens scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Brabrand IF trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home
AC Horsens or draw and over 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.37
BRA 3 of 6 (50%) · ACH 4 of 5 (80%)72.5%
Brabrand IF: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · AC Horsens: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
AC Horsens or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
BRA 4 of 5 (80%) · ACH 2 of 6 (33%)69.5%
AC Horsens: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Brabrand IF: the bet landed in 2 of 6 at home · both last 10: 65%
AC Horsens (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
BRA 5 of 7 (71%) · ACH 3 of 7 (43%)67.8%
AC Horsens won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Brabrand IF lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 57% · won 4, refunded 4, lost 3
AC Horsens or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.89
BRA 0 of 6 (0%) · ACH 4 of 5 (80%)56.3%
Brabrand IF: the bet landed in 0 of 6 at home · AC Horsens: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 45%
AC Horsens to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
BRA 3 of 5 (60%) · ACH 1 of 6 (17%)54.2%
AC Horsens won 3 of 5 away · Brabrand IF lost 1 of 6 at home · both last 10: 40%
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.18
BRA 4 of 6 (67%) · ACH 5 of 5 (100%)87.8%
Brabrand IF: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · AC Horsens: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
BRA 1 of 6 (17%) · ACH 4 of 5 (80%)64.2%
Brabrand IF: over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6 at home · AC Horsens: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.69
BRA 4 of 6 (67%) · ACH 3 of 5 (60%)61.7%
Brabrand IF: both scored in 4 of 6 at home · AC Horsens: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
BRABRAND IF GOALS
Brabrand IF Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.46
BRA 5 of 6 (83%) · ACH 4 of 5 (80%)74.6%
Brabrand IF scored in 5 of 6 at home · AC Horsens conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
AC HORSENS GOALS
AC Horsens Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.10
BRA 4 of 5 (80%) · ACH 5 of 6 (83%)85.8%
AC Horsens scored in 4 of 5 away · Brabrand IF conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.27
BRA 5 of 6 (83%) · ACH 5 of 5 (100%)87.8%
Brabrand IF: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · AC Horsens: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.17
BRA 3 of 6 (50%) · ACH 5 of 5 (100%)76.7%
Brabrand IF: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · AC Horsens: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
BRA 1 of 6 (17%) · ACH 6 of 6 (100%)58.3%
Brabrand IF's games: over 1.5 cards in 1 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · AC Horsens's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58%
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (AC Horsens are a clear winner - no Unders); AC Horsens or draw and both teams score (the numbers (44%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Brabrand IF Under 1.5 goals (AC Horsens's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (AC Horsens are a clear winner - no Unders); AC Horsens Over 1.5 goals (Brabrand IF's own games don't back it (0 of 6))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.2%
Brabrand IF goals →
AC Horsens goals ↓
0-06%
1-06%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-17%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.5%
1-50.7%
2-50.5%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
BRABRAND IFDLDWLDWWLW1.50 PPG
AC HORSENSWLWWLWDDDW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
BRABRAND IF HOMExAC HORSENS AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME2.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE25%0.00CORNERS A GAME3.000.00CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
DRAW OR AC HORSENS (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.10POINTS A GAME1.18-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
BRABRAND IF OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
AC HORSENS OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
BRABRAND IFxAC HORSENS
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
BRABRAND IF 0 · 0%DRAW 0AC HORSENS 1 · 100%
2014-09-23Brabrand IF 1 – 2 AC Horsens
TRENDS
Brabrand IF have scored in 90% of their games.
AC Horsens have scored in 80% of their games.
Brabrand IF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
AC Horsens kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards