RRRCR

21:00Tue 27 Oct

RAY

RC Recreativo de Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nuevo Colombino, Huelva.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. RC Recreativo de Huelva have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D. Rayo Vallecano have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L.

The numbers. RC Recreativo de Huelva score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. RC Recreativo de Huelva average 12.4 shots (6.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Rayo Vallecano score one and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Rayo Vallecano average 15.9 shots (4.9 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

The case against. RC Recreativo de Huelva's record still gives them 61% to win.

The read. Rayo Vallecano to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make RC Recreativo de Huelva the likelier winners; RC Recreativo de Huelva are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour RC Recreativo de Huelva. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Rayo Vallecano are a clear winner, no Unders); Rayo Vallecano Over 0.5 Goals (RC Recreativo de Huelva's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (Rayo Vallecano are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: RC Recreativo de Huelva 1-2 Rayo Vallecano (4% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Rayo Vallecano or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RCR 5 of 6 (83%) · RAY 5 of 6 (83%)86.7%

Rayo Vallecano: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · RC Recreativo de Huelva: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%

Rayo Vallecano or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.24

RCR 3 of 6 (50%) · RAY 4 of 6 (67%)61.7%

Rayo Vallecano: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · RC Recreativo de Huelva: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 55%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

RCR 5 of 6 (83%) · RAY 5 of 6 (83%)86.7%

RC Recreativo de Huelva: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Rayo Vallecano: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.70

RCR 4 of 6 (67%) · RAY 3 of 6 (50%)61.7%

RC Recreativo de Huelva: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Rayo Vallecano: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55%

RC RECREATIVO DE HUELVA GOALS

RC Recreativo de Huelva Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.61

RCR 5 of 6 (83%) · RAY 6 of 6 (100%)80.8%

RC Recreativo de Huelva scored in 5 of 6 at home · Rayo Vallecano conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.31

RCR 6 of 6 (100%) · RAY 5 of 6 (83%)89.4%

RC Recreativo de Huelva: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Rayo Vallecano: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Rayo Vallecano are a clear winner - no Unders); Rayo Vallecano Over 0.5 Goals (RC Recreativo de Huelva's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (Rayo Vallecano are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 4.4%

RC Recreativo de… goals →

Rayo Vallecano goals ↓

0-04%

1-08%

2-010%

3-07%

4-04%

5-02%

0-13%

1-19%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-24%

2-25%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.9%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.7%

5-30.3%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.4%

3-40.3%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

RC RECREATIVO DE HUELVAWWWDWDDLWD1.90 PPG

RAYO VALLECANOLLDLWLWDDL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

RC RECREATIVO DE HUELVA HOMExRAYO VALLECANO AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.200.90CONCEDED A GAME2.1040%CLEAN SHEETS0%25%FAILED TO SCORE11%5.20CORNERS A GAME5.753.40CARDS A GAME2.88

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.12POINTS A GAME1.00+1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.89–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.12.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

67%

NO · 85/90

RC RECREATIVO DE HUELVA OR DRAW

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

RAYO VALLECANO OR DRAW

21%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

RC RECREATIVO DE HUELVAxRAYO VALLECANO

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME0.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.203.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

RC Recreativo de Huelva have scored in 90% of their games.

Rayo Vallecano have scored in 80% of their games.

RC Recreativo de Huelva kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Rayo Vallecano kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards