Match details. Coppa Italia Serie C, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Sandro Cabassi, Carpi.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. AC Carpi have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. Ravenna FC 1913 have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition Ravenna FC 1913 have gone W.
The numbers. AC Carpi score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. AC Carpi average 9.8 shots (4.3 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Ravenna FC 1913 score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Ravenna FC 1913 average 13.2 shots (5.2 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings AC Carpi have won four, drawn one and lost four. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, AC Carpi won one and Ravenna FC 1913 won three. The last time they met, on 7 Feb 2026, it finished AC Carpi 0-1 Ravenna FC 1913.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Ravenna FC 1913 are not clearly stronger. AC Carpi's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Ravenna FC 1913 or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ravenna FC 1913 the likelier winners; Ravenna FC 1913 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ravenna FC 1913; the meetings favour Ravenna FC 1913. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Ravenna FC 1913 at 1.29, 78% on the records (Ravenna FC 1913 unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; AC Carpi failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Leave: Ravenna FC 1913 or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); AC Carpi Under 1.5 goals (AC Carpi's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AC Carpi 1-2 Ravenna FC 1913 (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).