ASACS

21:00Tue 27 Oct

ASD

AC Savoia 1908 vs ASD Sorrento 1945

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Coppa Italia Serie C, Round of 16. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. AC Savoia 1908 have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. In this competition AC Savoia 1908 have gone W. ASD Sorrento 1945 have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. In this competition ASD Sorrento 1945 have gone W.

The numbers. AC Savoia 1908 score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. AC Savoia 1908 average 9.9 shots (4.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. ASD Sorrento 1945 score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. ASD Sorrento 1945 average 9.5 shots (4.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: ASD Sorrento 1945 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Sorrento 1945 or Draw (1UP) (no result call); ASD Sorrento 1945 or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: AC Savoia 1908 1-1 ASD Sorrento 1945 (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ACS 8 of 9 (89%) · ASD 5 of 5 (100%)94.4%

AC Savoia 1908: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sorrento 1945: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · AC Savoia 1908: only games against sides at ASD Sorrento 1945's level · ASD Sorrento 1945: only games against sides at AC Savoia 1908's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ACS 7 of 9 (78%) · ASD 5 of 5 (100%)87%

AC Savoia 1908: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sorrento 1945: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · AC Savoia 1908: only games against sides at ASD Sorrento 1945's level · ASD Sorrento 1945: only games against sides at AC Savoia 1908's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ACS 8 of 9 (89%) · ASD 3 of 5 (60%)77.4%

AC Savoia 1908: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sorrento 1945: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · AC Savoia 1908: only games against sides at ASD Sorrento 1945's level · ASD Sorrento 1945: only games against sides at AC Savoia 1908's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

ACS 7 of 9 (78%) · ASD 3 of 5 (60%)71.9%

AC Savoia 1908: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Sorrento 1945: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · AC Savoia 1908: only games against sides at ASD Sorrento 1945's level · ASD Sorrento 1945: only games against sides at AC Savoia 1908's level

ASD SORRENTO 1945 GOALS

ASD Sorrento 1945 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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ACS 4 of 5 (80%) · ASD 6 of 9 (67%)73%

ASD Sorrento 1945 scored in 4 of 5 away · AC Savoia 1908 conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · ASD Sorrento 1945: only games against sides at AC Savoia 1908's level · AC Savoia 1908: only games against sides at ASD Sorrento 1945's level

Left off the list: ASD Sorrento 1945 or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Sorrento 1945 or Draw (1UP) (no result call); ASD Sorrento 1945 or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

AC Savoia 1908 goals →

ASD Sorrento 1945 goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

AC SAVOIA 1908WWDDDLDWLD1.40 PPG

ASD SORRENTO 1945WWWWLLWLDD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC SAVOIA 1908 HOMExASD SORRENTO 1945 AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.301.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS50%27%FAILED TO SCORE18%4.40CORNERS A GAME3.802.60CARDS A GAME1.70

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.80POINTS A GAME2.11-0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.56-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.60.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES9

ASD Sorrento 1945: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

ASD SORRENTO 1945 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 85/90

AC SAVOIA 1908 OR DRAW

55%

NO · 80/85

ASD SORRENTO 1945 OR DRAW

79%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC SAVOIA 1908xASD SORRENTO 1945

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME1.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.68.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AC Savoia 1908 have scored in 70% of their games.

ASD Sorrento 1945 have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Savoia 1908 kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

ASD Sorrento 1945 kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards