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BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA - KUP BIH
FK Sloboda Tuzla crestFSFKS
20:30Tue 27 Oct
FKZFK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo crestFZ

FK Sloboda Tuzla vs FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Kup BiH, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FK Sloboda Tuzla have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D.

The numbers. FK Sloboda Tuzla score 2.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. FK Sloboda Tuzla average 8.9 shots (3.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.8 cards a game. FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo score 0.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo average 7.2 shots (2.2 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings FK Sloboda Tuzla have won one, drawn one and lost six. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo won four. The last time they met, on 29 Oct 2025, it finished FK Sloboda Tuzla 0-2 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.

Where it pulls both ways. FK Sloboda Tuzla are the form side, but the meetings favour FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: in the last eight meetings, FK Sloboda Tuzla won one, FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo won six and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FK Sloboda Tuzla 2-0 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKS 4 of 5 (80%) · FKZ 6 of 6 (100%)93.8%
FK Sloboda Tuzla: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
FKS 4 of 5 (80%) · FKZ 6 of 6 (100%)88.3%
FK Sloboda Tuzla: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.41
FKS 4 of 5 (80%) · FKZ 5 of 6 (83%)81.7%
FK Sloboda Tuzla: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
FKS 5 of 5 (100%) · FKZ 5 of 6 (83%)74.6%
FK Sloboda Tuzla: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores
Left off the list: FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–0 13.1%
FK Sloboda Tuzla goals →
FK Zeljeznicar… goals ↓
0-06%
1-012%
2-013%
3-09%
4-05%
5-02%
0-14%
1-19%
2-19%
3-17%
4-14%
5-11%
0-22%
1-23%
2-23%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-30.4%
1-30.8%
2-30.8%
3-30.6%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.1%
1-40.1%
2-40.1%
3-40.1%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
FK SLOBODA TUZLAWLWDWWLWDW2.00 PPG
FK ZELJEZNICAR SARAJEVOLDLWWDDLDL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK SLOBODA TUZLA HOMExFK ZELJEZNICAR SARAJEVO AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.4060%CLEAN SHEETS10%27%FAILED TO SCORE27%4.33CORNERS A GAME2.702.78CARDS A GAME1.90
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.11+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.22-0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.92.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.68LEAGUE GAMES9
FK Sloboda Tuzla: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
FK SLOBODA TUZLA 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
26%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FK SLOBODA TUZLA OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
FK ZELJEZNICAR SARAJEVO OR DRAW
20%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK SLOBODA TUZLAxFK ZELJEZNICAR SARAJEVO
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.800.40CONCEDED A GAME1.602.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%0%BOTH SCORE80%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.88.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
FK SLOBODA TUZLA 1 · 12%DRAW 1FK ZELJEZNICAR SARAJEVO 6 · 75%
3 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-09-10FK Sloboda Tuzla 1 – 1 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2023-03-04FK Sloboda Tuzla 0 – 1 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2023-05-28FK Sloboda Tuzla 1 – 2 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2023-09-28FK Sloboda Tuzla 1 – 0 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2024-08-24FK Sloboda Tuzla 0 – 1 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2024-11-30FK Sloboda Tuzla 0 – 3 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2025-05-04FK Sloboda Tuzla 2 – 3 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2025-10-29FK Sloboda Tuzla 0 – 2 FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
TRENDS
FK Sloboda Tuzla have scored in 80% of their games.
FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have scored in 70% of their games.
FK Sloboda Tuzla kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
FK Zeljeznicar Sarajevo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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