RBRIJ

20:00Tue 27 Oct

FCD

Rijnsburgse Boys vs FC Den Bosch

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. KNVB beker, Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sportpark Middelmors, Rijnsburg.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Rijnsburgse Boys have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. FC Den Bosch have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L.

The numbers. Rijnsburgse Boys score 2.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Rijnsburgse Boys average 14.2 shots (5.6 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. FC Den Bosch score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Den Bosch average 14.5 shots (4.4 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Rijnsburgse Boys the likelier winners, but FC Den Bosch are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Rijnsburgse Boys.

The case against. Rijnsburgse Boys's record still gives them 49% to win.

The read. FC Den Bosch or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Rijnsburgse Boys the likelier winners; FC Den Bosch are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Rijnsburgse Boys. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Rijnsburgse Boys 2-2 FC Den Bosch (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Den Bosch or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RIJ 9 of 10 (90%) · FCD 5 of 6 (83%)89.3%

FC Den Bosch: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rijnsburgse Boys: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 90%

FC Den Bosch or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.20

RIJ 7 of 10 (70%) · FCD 5 of 6 (83%)72.8%

FC Den Bosch: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rijnsburgse Boys: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

RIJ 4 of 6 (67%) · FCD 8 of 10 (80%)78.6%

Rijnsburgse Boys: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · FC Den Bosch: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

RIJ 4 of 6 (67%) · FCD 6 of 10 (60%)62.2%

Rijnsburgse Boys: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · FC Den Bosch: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

RIJNSBURGSE BOYS GOALS

Rijnsburgse Boys Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.29

RIJ 5 of 6 (83%) · FCD 9 of 10 (90%)81.6%

Rijnsburgse Boys scored in 5 of 6 at home · FC Den Bosch conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

FC DEN BOSCH GOALS

FC Den Bosch Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

RIJ 8 of 10 (80%) · FCD 4 of 6 (67%)78.6%

FC Den Bosch scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Rijnsburgse Boys conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.14

RIJ 5 of 6 (83%) · FCD 7 of 10 (70%)77.8%

Rijnsburgse Boys: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · FC Den Bosch: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

RIJ 5 of 6 (83%) · FCD 7 of 10 (70%)76.1%

Rijnsburgse Boys: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · FC Den Bosch: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 6.8%

Rijnsburgse Boys goals →

FC Den Bosch goals ↓

0-03%

1-05%

2-06%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-14%

1-19%

2-19%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-22%

5-20.9%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-40.6%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.9%

4-40.4%

5-40.2%

0-50.2%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

RIJNSBURGSE BOYSLDWLWLWLWL1.30 PPG

FC DEN BOSCHWLLLWLDWWD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

RIJNSBURGSE BOYS HOMExFC DEN BOSCH AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.502.30CONCEDED A GAME1.7020%CLEAN SHEETS10%27%FAILED TO SCORE17%6.40CORNERS A GAME7.002.20CARDS A GAME1.75

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.25-1.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.91.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.610LEAGUE GAMES12

FC Den Bosch: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 85/90

RIJNSBURGSE BOYS OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

FC DEN BOSCH OR DRAW

28%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

RIJNSBURGSE BOYSxFC DEN BOSCH

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME0.801.80CONCEDED A GAME1.804.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Rijnsburgse Boys have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Den Bosch have scored in 80% of their games.

Rijnsburgse Boys kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

FC Den Bosch kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards