BBBVV

20:00Tue 27 Oct

RKC

BVV Barendrecht vs RKC Waalwijk

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. KNVB beker, Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sports Centre de Bongerd.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. BVV Barendrecht have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition BVV Barendrecht have gone W. RKC Waalwijk have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L.

The numbers. BVV Barendrecht score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. BVV Barendrecht average 13.5 shots (5.8 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. RKC Waalwijk score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. RKC Waalwijk average 15.1 shots (4.6 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The case against. BVV Barendrecht's record still gives them 47% to win.

The read. RKC Waalwijk or the draw. Their goals for and against make BVV Barendrecht the likelier winners; BVV Barendrecht are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour BVV Barendrecht.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: BVV Barendrecht 1-1 RKC Waalwijk (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

RKC Waalwijk or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BVV 5 of 5 (100%) · RKC 8 of 10 (80%)91.2%

RKC Waalwijk: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · BVV Barendrecht: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

BVV 10 of 10 (100%) · RKC 5 of 5 (100%)97.1%

BVV Barendrecht: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · RKC Waalwijk: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

BVV 8 of 10 (80%) · RKC 5 of 5 (100%)91.2%

BVV Barendrecht: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · RKC Waalwijk: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.29

BVV 7 of 10 (70%) · RKC 5 of 5 (100%)84%

BVV Barendrecht: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · RKC Waalwijk: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

BVV 6 of 10 (60%) · RKC 2 of 5 (40%)54.4%

BVV Barendrecht: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · RKC Waalwijk: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%

BVV BARENDRECHT GOALS

BVV Barendrecht Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.56

BVV 8 of 10 (80%) · RKC 4 of 5 (80%)77.7%

BVV Barendrecht scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · RKC Waalwijk conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.16

BVV 6 of 10 (60%) · RKC 5 of 5 (100%)80%

BVV Barendrecht: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · RKC Waalwijk: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.4%

BVV Barendrecht goals →

RKC Waalwijk goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

BVV BARENDRECHTLWDDWWWLWW2.00 PPG

RKC WAALWIJKDDWWWLDLDD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BVV BARENDRECHT HOMExRKC WAALWIJK AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.801.30CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS10%18%FAILED TO SCORE17%4.33CORNERS A GAME6.251.67CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.75POINTS A GAME1.33+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.32.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.68LEAGUE GAMES12

BVV Barendrecht: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

BVV BARENDRECHT OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

RKC WAALWIJK OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BVV BARENDRECHTxRKC WAALWIJK

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

BVV Barendrecht have scored in 80% of their games.

RKC Waalwijk have scored in 80% of their games.

BVV Barendrecht kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

RKC Waalwijk kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards