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15:00Tue 27 Oct

FC Milsami vs Fcm Ungheni

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Cupa Moldovei, Round of 16. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FC Milsami have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. Fcm Ungheni have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W. In this competition Fcm Ungheni have gone W.

The numbers. FC Milsami score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Milsami average 10.8 shots (5.1 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Fcm Ungheni score 3.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Fcm Ungheni average 7.5 shots (5.2 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 27 Oct 2021, it finished FC Milsami 5-1 Fcm Ungheni.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 12% against the records' 45%.

The read. No firm call: Fcm Ungheni are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fcm Ungheni the likelier winners; Fcm Ungheni are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fcm Ungheni. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Fcm Ungheni Over 1.5 Goals (FC Milsami's own games don't back it (3 of 10)). Predicted score: FC Milsami 1-2 Fcm Ungheni (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Fcm Ungheni or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FM 10 of 10 (100%) · FU 8 of 10 (80%)90%

Fcm Ungheni: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Milsami: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Fcm Ungheni or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FM 9 of 10 (90%) · FU 6 of 10 (60%)75%

Fcm Ungheni: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Milsami: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FM 9 of 10 (90%) · FU 10 of 10 (100%)95%

FC Milsami: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fcm Ungheni: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FM 7 of 10 (70%) · FU 10 of 10 (100%)85%

FC Milsami: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fcm Ungheni: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FM 5 of 10 (50%) · FU 9 of 10 (90%)70%

FC Milsami: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fcm Ungheni: over 2.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FM 7 of 10 (70%) · FU 9 of 10 (90%)80%

FC Milsami: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fcm Ungheni: both scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

FC MILSAMI GOALS

FC Milsami Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FM 8 of 10 (80%) · FU 9 of 10 (90%)85%

FC Milsami scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fcm Ungheni conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

FCM UNGHENI GOALS

Fcm Ungheni Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FM 10 of 10 (100%) · FU 8 of 10 (80%)90%

Fcm Ungheni scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Milsami conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FM 8 of 10 (80%) · FU 9 of 10 (90%)85%

FC Milsami: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fcm Ungheni: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Fcm Ungheni Over 1.5 Goals (FC Milsami's own games don't back it (3 of 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.9%

FC Milsami goals →

Fcm Ungheni goals ↓

0-02%

1-02%

2-02%

3-00.9%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-13%

1-16%

2-14%

3-12%

4-10.9%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-35%

1-37%

2-36%

3-33%

4-31%

5-30.4%

0-43%

1-45%

2-44%

3-42%

4-40.8%

5-40.3%

0-52%

1-53%

2-52%

3-51%

4-50.4%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC MILSAMIDLWDWLWDDL1.30 PPG

FCM UNGHENIWWLWWWDLDW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC MILSAMI HOMExFCM UNGHENI AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME3.901.40CONCEDED A GAME1.7020%CLEAN SHEETS10%38%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.50CORNERS A GAME7.002.50CARDS A GAME2.50

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

FC MILSAMI 1 · 100%DRAW 0FCM UNGHENI 0 · 0%

2021-10-27FC Milsami 5 – 1 Fcm Ungheni

TRENDS

FC Milsami have scored in 80% of their games.

Fcm Ungheni have scored in 100% of their games.

FC Milsami kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Fcm Ungheni kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards