Ethiopian Medhin vs Defense Force SC
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ethiopian Medhin have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Defense Force SC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.
The numbers. Ethiopian Medhin score 0.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Ethiopian Medhin average 5.8 shots (1.5 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Defense Force SC score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Defense Force SC average 8.8 shots (2.7 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.40, 78% on the records (Ethiopian Medhin: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10; Defense Force SC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Ethiopian Medhin or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Defense Force SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ethiopian Medhin 0-0 Defense Force SC (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).