Match details. Serbian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion FK Mačva, Šabac.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FK Macva Sabac have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. FK Napredak Krusevac have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D.
The numbers. FK Macva Sabac score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FK Macva Sabac average 9.8 shots (2.6 on target), 3.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. FK Napredak Krusevac score none and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. FK Napredak Krusevac average 11.7 shots (3.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings FK Macva Sabac have won two, drawn none and lost six. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FK Napredak Krusevac won four. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2021, it finished FK Macva Sabac 0-2 FK Napredak Krusevac.
The case against. FK Napredak Krusevac's record still gives them 35% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. FK Macva Sabac or the draw. A tight game. The meetings favour FK Napredak Krusevac. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Macva Sabac Over 0.5 Goals (FK Napredak Krusevac's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: FK Macva Sabac 0-0 FK Napredak Krusevac (21% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKM 5 of 5 (100%) · FKN 5 of 5 (100%)100%
FK Macva Sabac: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FK Napredak Krusevac: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
FKM 5 of 5 (100%) · FKN 5 of 5 (100%)97.8%
FK Macva Sabac: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FK Napredak Krusevac: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6
Under 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.65
FKM 4 of 5 (80%) · FKN 4 of 5 (80%)75.2%
FK Macva Sabac: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Napredak Krusevac: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 4 of 6
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANIN CODES
1.56
FKM 3 of 5 (60%) · FKN 5 of 5 (100%)69%
FK Macva Sabac: not both scored in 3 of 5 at home · FK Napredak Krusevac: not both scored in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 4 of 6
HALVES
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.34
FKM 4 of 5 (80%) · FKN 5 of 5 (100%)85.8%
FK Macva Sabac: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FK Napredak Krusevac: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); FK Macva Sabac Over 0.5 Goals (FK Napredak Krusevac's own games don't back it (2 of 5))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–020.7%
FK Macva Sabac goals →
FK Napredak Krusevac goals ↓
0-021%
1-018%
2-09%
3-03%
4-00.7%
5-00.1%
0-112%
1-113%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-24%
1-24%
2-22%
3-20.6%
4-20.2%
5-20.0%
0-30.9%
1-30.9%
2-30.4%
3-30.1%
4-30.0%
5-30.0%
0-40.2%
1-40.1%
2-40.1%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
FK MACVA SABACWLWDDLLDDL1.00 PPG
FK NAPREDAK KRUSEVACLWLLLDWDWD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK MACVA SABAC HOMExFK NAPREDAK KRUSEVAC AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME0.801.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS50%38%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.38CORNERS A GAME3.833.00CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
FK NAPREDAK KRUSEVAC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.77POINTS A GAME1.50-0.92GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.08-3.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.60.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.613LEAGUE GAMES12
FK Napredak Krusevac: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
FK NAPREDAK KRUSEVAC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
41%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FK MACVA SABAC OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
FK NAPREDAK KRUSEVAC OR DRAW
69%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK MACVA SABACxFK NAPREDAK KRUSEVAC
6GAMES60.83SCORED A GAME0.331.00CONCEDED A GAME0.831.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.250%OVER 1.5 GOALS33%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS17%50%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.