KHKON

21:00Tue 27 Oct

GOA

Koninklijke HFC vs Go Ahead Eagles

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. KNVB beker, Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sportpark Groenendaal, Heemstede.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Koninklijke HFC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. In this competition Koninklijke HFC have gone W. Go Ahead Eagles have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D.

The numbers. Koninklijke HFC score 1.5 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Go Ahead Eagles score 1.8 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Go Ahead Eagles average 15.4 shots (5.9 on target), 6.1 corners and 0.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Koninklijke HFC the likelier winners, but Go Ahead Eagles are the stronger side on form and the table.

The case against. Koninklijke HFC's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Go Ahead Eagles to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Koninklijke HFC the likelier winners; Go Ahead Eagles are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Go Ahead Eagles are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Go Ahead Eagles are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Koninklijke HFC 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Go Ahead Eagles or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KON 5 of 5 (100%) · GOA 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Go Ahead Eagles: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Koninklijke HFC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against

Go Ahead Eagles or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.10

KON 4 of 5 (80%) · GOA 8 of 10 (80%)85.2%

Go Ahead Eagles: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Koninklijke HFC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.11

KON 10 of 10 (100%) · GOA 5 of 5 (100%)95.8%

Koninklijke HFC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Go Ahead Eagles: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

KON 6 of 10 (60%) · GOA 4 of 5 (80%)77.7%

Koninklijke HFC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Go Ahead Eagles: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.19

KON 9 of 10 (90%) · GOA 5 of 5 (100%)95%

Koninklijke HFC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Go Ahead Eagles: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.13

KON 10 of 10 (100%) · GOA 4 of 5 (80%)92%

Koninklijke HFC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Go Ahead Eagles: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.61

KON 6 of 10 (60%) · GOA 4 of 5 (80%)70.3%

Koninklijke HFC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Go Ahead Eagles: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Go Ahead Eagles are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Go Ahead Eagles are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 6.6%

Koninklijke HFC goals →

Go Ahead Eagles goals ↓

0-03%

1-04%

2-05%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-13%

1-18%

2-18%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-32%

1-34%

2-34%

3-33%

4-32%

5-30.6%

0-40.7%

1-42%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.6%

5-40.3%

0-50.2%

1-50.5%

2-50.6%

3-50.4%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

KONINKLIJKE HFCWWDDLDLLWL1.20 PPG

GO AHEAD EAGLESWDWLDDDDLW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KONINKLIJKE HFC HOMExGO AHEAD EAGLES AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME2.301.60CONCEDED A GAME2.3010%CLEAN SHEETS0%18%FAILED TO SCORE0%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR GO AHEAD EAGLES (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.40-0.56GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.29LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

67%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

67%

NO · 85/90

KONINKLIJKE HFC OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

GO AHEAD EAGLES OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

KONINKLIJKE HFCxGO AHEAD EAGLES

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.801.80CONCEDED A GAME2.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES1.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Koninklijke HFC failed to score in 18% of their games.

Go Ahead Eagles failed to score in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against