VV Kloetinge vs SC Cambuur
Match details. VV Kloetinge host SC Cambuur in the Round of 64 of the KNVB beker. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct at 20:00 Lagos time at Sportpark Wesselopark, Kloetinge.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. VV Kloetinge have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, taking 0.9 points a game. Their last five read L L D L D, though they have gone W W in this competition. SC Cambuur have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.2 points a game. They come into this in great shape, going W D W D W across their last five.
The numbers. VV Kloetinge score 2.7 and concede two a game in their last six at home, keeping one clean sheet. They average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game. SC Cambuur score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. They average 11.9 shots (5.1 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
The case against. VV Kloetinge's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. SC Cambuur to win. An open game. SC Cambuur are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. For me, their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (SC Cambuur are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (SC Cambuur are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: VV Kloetinge 1-2 SC Cambuur (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).