Match details. SC Telstar take on Almere City FC in the KNVB beker Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct at 20:00 Lagos time. The match is played at 711 Stadion in Velsen-Zuid.
What's at stake. It is one game on the night, with penalties if it is level after full time.
Form. SC Telstar have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten games, averaging 0.6 points a game. Their last five show L L D L D. Almere City FC have won six and lost four of their last ten, earning 1.8 points a game. Their last five read L L W W L.
The numbers. SC Telstar score 1.6 and concede three a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. They average 13.0 shots (3.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.6 cards with 46% of the ball. Almere City FC score 2.8 and concede 1.2 away, keeping two clean sheets. They manage 16.4 shots (5.9 on target), 4.9 corners and 0.9 cards with 46% possession.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings, SC Telstar have won three, drawn three and lost three. Three of those went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. Across the last four, SC Telstar won two, one was drawn and Almere City FC won one. On 14 Jan 2026, SC Telstar won 3-1, recording 13 shots to 17, 48% ball and three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. This one pulls both ways. Goals for and against make Almere City FC the likelier winners, and they are stronger on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Almere City FC, but recent meetings favour SC Telstar. Their xG points to an open game and records put over 2.5 goals at 72%, though six of the last nine head-to-heads went under 2.5.
The case against. Almere City FC's record still gives them a 49% chance to win. On goals, six of the last nine meetings between them went under 2.5 goals.
The read. SC Telstar to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Almere City FC the likelier winners, and Almere City FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Almere City FC, but the meetings favour SC Telstar. Their xG points to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (SC Telstar are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (SC Telstar are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: SC Telstar 2-1 Almere City FC (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).