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NETHERLANDS - KNVB BEKER
SC Telstar crestSTSCT
20:00Tue 27 Oct
ALMAlmere City FC crestAC

SC Telstar vs Almere City FC

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. SC Telstar take on Almere City FC in the KNVB beker Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct at 20:00 Lagos time. The match is played at 711 Stadion in Velsen-Zuid.

What's at stake. It is one game on the night, with penalties if it is level after full time.

Form. SC Telstar have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten games, averaging 0.6 points a game. Their last five show L L D L D. Almere City FC have won six and lost four of their last ten, earning 1.8 points a game. Their last five read L L W W L.

The numbers. SC Telstar score 1.6 and concede three a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. They average 13.0 shots (3.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.6 cards with 46% of the ball. Almere City FC score 2.8 and concede 1.2 away, keeping two clean sheets. They manage 16.4 shots (5.9 on target), 4.9 corners and 0.9 cards with 46% possession.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings, SC Telstar have won three, drawn three and lost three. Three of those went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. Across the last four, SC Telstar won two, one was drawn and Almere City FC won one. On 14 Jan 2026, SC Telstar won 3-1, recording 13 shots to 17, 48% ball and three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. This one pulls both ways. Goals for and against make Almere City FC the likelier winners, and they are stronger on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Almere City FC, but recent meetings favour SC Telstar. Their xG points to an open game and records put over 2.5 goals at 72%, though six of the last nine head-to-heads went under 2.5.

The case against. Almere City FC's record still gives them a 49% chance to win. On goals, six of the last nine meetings between them went under 2.5 goals.

The read. SC Telstar to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Almere City FC the likelier winners, and Almere City FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Almere City FC, but the meetings favour SC Telstar. Their xG points to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (SC Telstar are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (SC Telstar are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: SC Telstar 2-1 Almere City FC (5% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
SC Telstar or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SCT 5 of 5 (100%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)88.9%
SC Telstar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Almere City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · H2H 4 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against
SC Telstar or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
SCT 5 of 5 (100%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)70.5%
SC Telstar: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Almere City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · H2H 2 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.14
SCT 5 of 5 (100%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)84.8%
SC Telstar: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Almere City FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · H2H 3 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against
ALMERE CITY FC GOALS
Almere City FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
SCT 5 of 5 (100%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%
Almere City FC scored in 5 of 5 away · SC Telstar conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.14
SCT 4 of 5 (80%) · ALM 5 of 5 (100%)85.7%
SC Telstar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Almere City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (SC Telstar are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (SC Telstar are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 4.8%
SC Telstar goals →
Almere City FC goals ↓
0-04%
1-03%
2-02%
3-00.8%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-18%
1-19%
2-15%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-37%
1-37%
2-34%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-44%
1-44%
2-42%
3-40.8%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-52%
1-52%
2-51.0%
3-50.4%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
SC TELSTARWLLDLDLDLL0.60 PPG
ALMERE CITY FCWWLWWLWWLL1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SC TELSTAR HOMExALMERE CITY FC AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME2.102.10CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS50%40%FAILED TO SCORE8%4.50CORNERS A GAME4.881.62CARDS A GAME0.881.21xG2.102.00xG AGAINST1.65
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.60POINTS A GAME1.83-0.90GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.08-3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.60.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES12
Almere City FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
ALMERE CITY FC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
67%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
SC TELSTAR OR DRAW
41%
NO · 80/85
ALMERE CITY FC OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SC TELSTARxALMERE CITY FC
5GAMES61.60SCORED A GAME2.503.00CONCEDED A GAME1.174.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.7100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%80%BOTH SCORE67%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
SC TELSTAR 3 · 33%DRAW 3ALMERE CITY FC 3 · 33%
5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2019-10-18SC Telstar 1 – 0 Almere City FC
2020-01-31SC Telstar 2 – 4 Almere City FC
2020-12-11SC Telstar 2 – 3 Almere City FC
2021-04-12SC Telstar 1 – 1 Almere City FC
2021-09-10SC Telstar 1 – 1 Almere City FC
2022-01-30SC Telstar 0 – 0 Almere City FC
2022-09-09SC Telstar 1 – 0 Almere City FC
2023-01-27SC Telstar 0 – 1 Almere City FC
TRENDS
SC Telstar have scored in 60% of their games.
Almere City FC have scored in 90% of their games.
SC Telstar kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Almere City FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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