EXCEXC

18:45Tue 27 Oct

ADO

Excelsior ´31 vs ADO Den Haag

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Nl4, Round of 64. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Excelsior ´31 have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Excelsior ´31 have gone W W. ADO Den Haag have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.

The numbers. Excelsior ´31 score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Excelsior ´31 average 2.7 shots (1.2 on target), 1.3 corners and 0.2 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. ADO Den Haag score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. ADO Den Haag average 12.9 shots (3.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 18 Oct 2022, it finished Excelsior ´31 2-3 ADO Den Haag.

The case against. Excelsior ´31's record still gives them 61% to win.

The read. ADO Den Haag to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Excelsior ´31 the likelier winners; Excelsior ´31 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Excelsior ´31. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (ADO Den Haag are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (ADO Den Haag are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Excelsior ´31 1-2 ADO Den Haag (5% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.11

EXC 10 of 10 (100%) · ADO 4 of 5 (80%)92%

Excelsior ´31: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ADO Den Haag: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.24

EXC 9 of 10 (90%) · ADO 4 of 5 (80%)87%

Excelsior ´31: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ADO Den Haag: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

EXC 9 of 10 (90%) · ADO 4 of 5 (80%)85.3%

Excelsior ´31: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ADO Den Haag: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.53

EXC 7 of 10 (70%) · ADO 4 of 5 (80%)75.3%

Excelsior ´31: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ADO Den Haag: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (ADO Den Haag are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (ADO Den Haag are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 5.4%

Excelsior ´31 goals →

ADO Den Haag goals ↓

0-04%

1-07%

2-08%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01%

0-13%

1-19%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-25%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-21%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-32%

4-31.0%

5-30.4%

0-40.3%

1-40.7%

2-40.7%

3-40.5%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

EXCELSIOR ´31WLDWWWWLWL1.90 PPG

ADO DEN HAAGLLLDLLDDWL0.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

EXCELSIOR ´31 HOMExADO DEN HAAG AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME1.301.40CONCEDED A GAME2.3067%CLEAN SHEETS0%9%FAILED TO SCORE20%1.31CORNERS A GAME3.380.23CARDS A GAME2.12

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR ADO DEN HAAG (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

EXCELSIOR ´31 0 · 0%DRAW 0ADO DEN HAAG 1 · 100%

2022-10-18Excelsior ´31 2 – 3 ADO Den Haag

TRENDS

Excelsior ´31 have scored in 90% of their games.

ADO Den Haag have scored in 80% of their games.

Excelsior ´31 kept a clean sheet in 67% of their games.

ADO Den Haag kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards