Match details. Karntner Liga. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Launsdorf have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. SAK Celovec/Klagenfurt have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.
The numbers. Launsdorf score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Launsdorf average 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. SAK Celovec/Klagenfurt score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. SAK Celovec/Klagenfurt average 5.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. Launsdorf's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. SAK Celovec/Klagenfurt to win. An open game. SAK Celovec/Klagenfurt are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SAK Celovec/Klagenfurt. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.49, 73% on the records (Launsdorf: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; SAK Celovec/Klagenfurt: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: SAK Celovec/Klagenfurt (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); Launsdorf Under 1.5 goals (Launsdorf's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Launsdorf 1-2 SAK Celovec/Klagenfurt (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).