Mallorca vs Cadiz
Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma. The referee is Gonzalo Romero Freixas.
What's at stake. Mallorca are 8th on 19 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Burgos, 1 point clear of Oviedo. A win would take them above Burgos. Cadiz are 19th on 10 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Real Sociedad II, level on points with FC Andorra. A win would take them above Real Sociedad II.
Form. Mallorca have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D L. In this competition Mallorca have gone D D W D L W. Cadiz have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. In this competition Cadiz have gone W L L W D L.
The numbers. Mallorca score 1.1 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Mallorca average 12.1 shots (4.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Cadiz score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Cadiz average 11.1 shots (3.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Mallorca have won three, drawn six and lost one. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Mallorca won one, two were drawn and Cadiz won one. The last time they met, on 28 Apr 2024, it finished Mallorca 1-1 Cadiz: Mallorca had 9 shots to 10, 41% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 67% against the records' 42%.
The read. No firm call: Mallorca are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Mallorca the likelier winners; Mallorca are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, 72% on the records (Mallorca: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Cadiz: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10). The safer one: Cadiz Under 1.5 Goals at 1.16 (80%). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).