Real Oviedo vs Las Palmas
Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo. The referee is Morilla Turrion.
What's at stake. Real Oviedo are 9th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Mallorca, 1 point clear of Sabadell. A win would take them above Mallorca. Las Palmas are 14th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Eldense, 1 point clear of Celta de Vigo II. A win would take them above Eldense.
Form. Real Oviedo have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. In this competition Real Oviedo have gone D W W L W L. Las Palmas have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L. In this competition Las Palmas have gone W L L D L L.
The numbers. Real Oviedo score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Oviedo average 15.9 shots (5.5 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Las Palmas score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Las Palmas average 10.1 shots (3.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Real Oviedo have won three, drawn five and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Real Oviedo won one, two were drawn and Las Palmas won one. The last time they met, on 9 Apr 2023, it finished Real Oviedo 1-0 Las Palmas: Real Oviedo had 8 shots to 17, 23% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Las Palmas's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Real Oviedo to win. An open game. Real Oviedo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Real Oviedo. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Las Palmas Under 1.5 goals (Las Palmas's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Real Oviedo or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Real Oviedo 2-1 Las Palmas (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).