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GEORGIA - CUP
FC Gagra crestFGFCG
17:00Tue 27 Oct
FCRFC Rustavi crestFR

FC Gagra vs FC Rustavi

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Cup, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FC Gagra have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. FC Rustavi have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition FC Rustavi have gone W.

The numbers. FC Gagra score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Gagra average 9.7 shots (4.0 on target), 6.7 corners and 4.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. FC Rustavi score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Rustavi average 9.8 shots (4.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings FC Gagra have won four, drawn two and lost two. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FC Gagra won two, one was drawn and FC Rustavi won one. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished FC Gagra 0-3 FC Rustavi.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Gagra or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Rustavi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Gagra 1-1 FC Rustavi (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCG 5 of 5 (100%) · FCR 9 of 9 (100%)100%
FC Gagra: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Rustavi: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Gagra: only games against sides at FC Rustavi's level · FC Rustavi: only games against sides at FC Gagra's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCG 5 of 5 (100%) · FCR 9 of 9 (100%)100%
FC Gagra: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Rustavi: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Gagra: only games against sides at FC Rustavi's level · FC Rustavi: only games against sides at FC Gagra's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
FCG 4 of 5 (80%) · FCR 8 of 9 (89%)84.2%
FC Gagra: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Rustavi: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Gagra: only games against sides at FC Rustavi's level · FC Rustavi: only games against sides at FC Gagra's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.63
FCG 4 of 5 (80%) · FCR 7 of 9 (78%)69.2%
FC Gagra: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FC Rustavi: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Gagra: only games against sides at FC Rustavi's level · FC Rustavi: only games against sides at FC Gagra's level
FC RUSTAVI GOALS
FC Rustavi Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCG 6 of 9 (67%) · FCR 4 of 5 (80%)71.7%
FC Rustavi scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gagra conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Rustavi: only games against sides at FC Gagra's level · FC Gagra: only games against sides at FC Rustavi's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCG 4 of 5 (80%) · FCR 7 of 9 (78%)80%
FC Gagra: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FC Rustavi: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Gagra: only games against sides at FC Rustavi's level · FC Rustavi: only games against sides at FC Gagra's level
Left off the list: FC Gagra or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Rustavi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 14%
FC Gagra goals →
FC Rustavi goals ↓
0-011%
1-010%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-112%
1-114%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-28%
1-28%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.6%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
FC GAGRADLWLDLDLLD0.70 PPG
FC RUSTAVIWDLDWLWWWL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC GAGRA HOMExFC RUSTAVI AWAY
0.60SCORED A GAME1.201.70CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%6.67CORNERS A GAME3.894.00CARDS A GAME1.78
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.80POINTS A GAME1.82-0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.55-1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.10.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES11
FC Rustavi: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
FC RUSTAVI 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
25%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FC GAGRA OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
FC RUSTAVI OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC GAGRAxFC RUSTAVI
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME0.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
FC GAGRA 4 · 50%DRAW 2FC RUSTAVI 2 · 25%
3 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-10-20FC Gagra 0 – 2 FC Rustavi
2021-04-02FC Gagra 0 – 0 FC Rustavi
2021-05-24FC Gagra 3 – 1 FC Rustavi
2021-09-10FC Gagra 1 – 0 FC Rustavi
2021-11-01FC Gagra 2 – 0 FC Rustavi
2026-03-15FC Gagra 2 – 1 FC Rustavi
2026-05-16FC Gagra 1 – 1 FC Rustavi
2026-08-22FC Gagra 0 – 3 FC Rustavi
TRENDS
FC Gagra have scored in 40% of their games.
FC Rustavi have scored in 70% of their games.
FC Gagra kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
FC Rustavi kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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