Match details. Cup, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Gagra have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D L. FC Rustavi have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. In this competition FC Rustavi have gone W.
The numbers. FC Gagra score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Gagra average 9.7 shots (4.0 on target), 6.7 corners and 4.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. FC Rustavi score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Rustavi average 9.8 shots (4.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings FC Gagra have won four, drawn two and lost two. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FC Gagra won two, one was drawn and FC Rustavi won one. The last time they met, on 22 Aug 2026, it finished FC Gagra 0-3 FC Rustavi.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Gagra or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Rustavi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Gagra 1-1 FC Rustavi (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).