Braga vs FC Famalicao
Match details. League Cup, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Municipal de Braga.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Braga have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. FC Famalicao have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D.
The numbers. Braga score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Braga average 14.9 shots (4.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. FC Famalicao score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Famalicao average 10.3 shots (3.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Braga have won four, drawn four and lost two. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, Braga won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Braga 2-2 FC Famalicao: Braga had 10 shots to 6, 69% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Braga the likelier winners, but FC Famalicao are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Braga.
The case against. FC Famalicao's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Braga to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Braga the likelier winners; FC Famalicao are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Braga. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Braga are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Braga are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Braga 2-1 FC Famalicao (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).