KMKFM

13:00Mon 26 Oct

KFI

KF Mitrovica vs KF Istogu

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Liga e Pare, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. KF Mitrovica are 18th on 5 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Tefik Canga. A win would take them above Tefik Canga. KF Istogu are 10th on 16 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Vëllaznimi, 1 point clear of Vjosa. A win would take them above Vëllaznimi.

Form. KF Mitrovica have won none, drawn five and lost four of their last nine league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition KF Mitrovica have gone L D L L L D. KF Istogu have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition KF Istogu have gone W L W W D L.

The numbers. KF Mitrovica score 0.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. KF Istogu score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. KF Istogu average 3.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: KF Mitrovica 0-0 KF Istogu (17% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (KF Istogu the favourite), a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFM 9 of 9 (100%) · KFI 5 of 5 (100%)97%

KF Mitrovica: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · KF Istogu: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · KF Mitrovica: only games against sides at KF Istogu's level · KF Istogu: only games against sides at KF Mitrovica's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFM 8 of 9 (89%) · KFI 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%

KF Mitrovica: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · KF Istogu: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · KF Mitrovica: only games against sides at KF Istogu's level · KF Istogu: only games against sides at KF Mitrovica's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFM 7 of 9 (78%) · KFI 5 of 5 (100%)88.2%

KF Mitrovica: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · KF Istogu: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · KF Mitrovica: only games against sides at KF Istogu's level · KF Istogu: only games against sides at KF Mitrovica's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFM 8 of 8 (100%) · KFI 7 of 7 (100%)97%

KF Mitrovica: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · KF Istogu: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · KF Mitrovica: only games against sides at KF Istogu's level · KF Istogu: only games against sides at KF Mitrovica's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KFM 7 of 8 (88%) · KFI 7 of 7 (100%)94.8%

KF Mitrovica: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · KF Istogu: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · KF Mitrovica: only games against sides at KF Istogu's level · KF Istogu: only games against sides at KF Mitrovica's level

Left off the list: KF Istogu or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); KF Istogu Over 0.5 Goals (KF Istogu's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–0 16.7%

KF Mitrovica goals →

KF Istogu goals ↓

0-017%

1-012%

2-05%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.0%

0-116%

1-114%

2-15%

3-11%

4-10.3%

5-10.0%

0-29%

1-27%

2-23%

3-20.7%

4-20.1%

5-20.0%

0-33%

1-32%

2-31.0%

3-30.2%

4-30.0%

5-30.0%

0-40.8%

1-40.6%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

KF MITROVICADDDDLLLDL0.56 PPG

KF ISTOGUWLWLLDWWLW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KF MITROVICA HOMExKF ISTOGU AWAY

0.44SCORED A GAME1.101.33CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS30%60%FAILED TO SCORE36%

TRENDS

KF Mitrovica have scored in 40% of their games.

KF Istogu have scored in 70% of their games.

KF Mitrovica kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

KF Istogu kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table