PORPOR

21:30Wed 28 Oct

ACA

Porto vs Academico de Viseu FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. League Cup, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Porto have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. Academico de Viseu FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. Porto score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Porto average 15.1 shots (5.1 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Academico de Viseu FC score 1.5 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Academico de Viseu FC average 9.9 shots (3.6 on target), 2.3 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Porto have won four, drawn one and lost none. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Porto won four. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2026, it finished Porto 3-0 Academico de Viseu FC: Porto had 5 shots to 9, 43% of the ball.

The case against. A knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Porto are not clearly stronger. Academico de Viseu FC's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Porto or the draw. An open game. Porto are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Porto; the meetings favour Porto. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Porto are a clear winner, no Unders); Porto or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Academico de Viseu FC Under 1.5 goals (Academico de Viseu FC's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Porto 2-1 Academico de Viseu FC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Porto or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POR 9 of 9 (100%) · ACA 4 of 5 (80%)94.4%

Porto: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Academico de Viseu FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 5 · Porto: only games against sides at Academico de Viseu FC's level · Academico de Viseu FC: only games against sides at Porto's level · the call is Porto or the draw: a knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Porto are not clearly stronge

Porto or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.10

POR 8 of 9 (89%) · ACA 3 of 5 (60%)85.2%

Porto: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Academico de Viseu FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 5 · Porto: only games against sides at Academico de Viseu FC's level · Academico de Viseu FC: only games against sides at Porto's level · the call is Porto or the draw: a knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Porto are not clearly stronge

Porto or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.22

POR 8 of 9 (89%) · ACA 3 of 5 (60%)80.8%

Porto: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Academico de Viseu FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 5 · Porto: only games against sides at Academico de Viseu FC's level · Academico de Viseu FC: only games against sides at Porto's level · the call is Porto or the draw: a knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Porto are not clearly stronge

Porto or Draw & Over 1.5SETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.34

POR 6 of 9 (67%) · ACA 2 of 5 (40%)64.3%

Porto: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Academico de Viseu FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 5 · Porto: only games against sides at Academico de Viseu FC's level · Academico de Viseu FC: only games against sides at Porto's level · rule 2: the meetings back Porto: in the last 5 meetings, Porto won 4 and 1 was drawn; in the last 4, Porto won 4

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

POR 8 of 9 (89%) · ACA 4 of 5 (80%)85.2%

Porto: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Academico de Viseu FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 5 · Porto: only games against sides at Academico de Viseu FC's level · Academico de Viseu FC: only games against sides at Porto's level

PORTO GOALS

Porto Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

POR 8 of 9 (89%) · ACA 3 of 5 (60%)85.2%

Porto scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Academico de Viseu FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 5 · Porto: only games against sides at Academico de Viseu FC's level · Academico de Viseu FC: only games against sides at Porto's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.31

POR 5 of 9 (56%) · ACA 5 of 5 (100%)71.9%

Porto: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Academico de Viseu FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · Porto: only games against sides at Academico de Viseu FC's level · Academico de Viseu FC: only games against sides at Porto's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POR 5 of 7 (71%) · ACA 5 of 7 (71%)71.4%

Porto's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Academico de Viseu FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Porto: only games against sides at Academico de Viseu FC's level · Academico de Viseu FC: only games against sides at Porto's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Porto are a clear winner - no Unders); Porto or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Academico de Viseu FC Under 1.5 goals (Academico de Viseu FC's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Porto are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Porto are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7.8%

Porto goals →

Academico de Viseu FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-112%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

PORTOWWWLWWWLLW2.10 PPG

ACADEMICO DE VISEU FCDLDLWWWWLW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PORTO HOMExACADEMICO DE VISEU FC AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.301.00CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE22%5.12CORNERS A GAME2.291.50CARDS A GAME3.141.61xG1.271.24xG AGAINST1.56

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

PORTO OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

3.00POINTS A GAME1.89+1.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.22+5.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.93.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.08LEAGUE GAMES9

Porto: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

PORTO 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PORTO OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

ACADEMICO DE VISEU FC OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PORTOxACADEMICO DE VISEU FC

5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME0.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.010.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

PORTO 4 · 80%DRAW 1ACADEMICO DE VISEU FC 0 · 0%

1 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-02-04Porto 1 – 1 Academico de Viseu FC

2020-02-12Porto 3 – 0 Academico de Viseu FC

2023-01-25Porto 3 – 0 Academico de Viseu FC

2023-02-08Porto 1 – 0 Academico de Viseu FC

2026-08-29Porto 3 – 0 Academico de Viseu FC

TRENDS

Porto have scored in 80% of their games.

Academico de Viseu FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Porto kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Academico de Viseu FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards