Match details. Czech Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at epet ARENA, Praha.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Sparta Prague have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. In this competition Sparta Prague have gone W. FC Banik Ostrava have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. In this competition FC Banik Ostrava have gone W.
The numbers. Sparta Prague score 2.3 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sparta Prague average 19.4 shots (6.6 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. FC Banik Ostrava score two and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Banik Ostrava average 12.6 shots (3.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sparta Prague have won six, drawn two and lost two. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Sparta Prague won two, one was drawn and FC Banik Ostrava won one. The last time they met, on 18 Oct 2026, it finished Sparta Prague 0-0 FC Banik Ostrava: Sparta Prague had 16 shots to 12, 52% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: Sparta Prague are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sparta Prague the likelier winners; Sparta Prague are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sparta Prague; the meetings favour Sparta Prague. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Sparta Prague are a clear winner, no Unders); Sparta Prague or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Sparta Prague or draw and under 3.5 goals (Sparta Prague are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Sparta Prague 2-1 FC Banik Ostrava (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).