Match details. FC Vysocina Jihlava host Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. The match is played at Stadion v Jiráskově ulici, Jihlava.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Vysocina Jihlava have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, averaging 2.2 points a game. Their last five read W W D W W, and in this competition they have gone W. Viktoria Plzen have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, picking up 1.0 points a game with a recent L L W L W run.
The numbers. FC Vysocina Jihlava score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. They average 9.4 shots (3.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Viktoria Plzen score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. They average 16.9 shots (4.4 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree here. The odds board makes it 19% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: FC Vysocina Jihlava are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. FC Vysocina Jihlava are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Vysocina Jihlava. Their goals for and against point to an open game, and their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Viktoria Plzen or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Vysocina Jihlava); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Viktoria Plzen or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs FC Vysocina Jihlava). Predicted score: FC Vysocina Jihlava 2-1 Viktoria Plzen (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).