FHFCH

18:30Tue 27 Oct

WOL

FC Hertha Wels vs Wolfsberger AC

CLASS B

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THE READ

Match details. OFB Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Huber-Arena, Wels.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FC Hertha Wels have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. Wolfsberger AC have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.

The numbers. FC Hertha Wels score 1.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Hertha Wels average 13.4 shots (4.7 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Wolfsberger AC score 0.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Wolfsberger AC average 9.1 shots (3.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and FC Hertha Wels are not clearly stronger. Wolfsberger AC's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. FC Hertha Wels or the draw. An open game. FC Hertha Wels are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Hertha Wels. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Wolfsberger AC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Hertha Wels); Wolfsberger AC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs FC Hertha Wels); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Hertha Wels 2-1 Wolfsberger AC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Hertha Wels or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCH 5 of 5 (100%) · WOL 5 of 6 (83%)81.2%

FC Hertha Wels: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Wolfsberger AC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · the call is FC Hertha Wels or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and FC Hertha Wels are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Double Chance: FC Hertha Wels or Wolfsberger ACIN CODES

1.24

FCH 5 of 5 (100%) · WOL 4 of 6 (67%)76.8%

FC Hertha Wels: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Wolfsberger AC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

FCH 4 of 5 (80%) · WOL 4 of 6 (67%)66.1%

FC Hertha Wels: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Wolfsberger AC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.82

FCH 4 of 5 (80%) · WOL 3 of 6 (50%)55.4%

FC Hertha Wels: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Wolfsberger AC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 60%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.22

FCH 5 of 5 (100%) · WOL 4 of 6 (67%)85.6%

FC Hertha Wels: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Wolfsberger AC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.17

FCH 4 of 5 (80%) · WOL 5 of 6 (83%)82.8%

FC Hertha Wels: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Wolfsberger AC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.09

FCH 4 of 5 (80%) · WOL 4 of 6 (67%)77.2%

FC Hertha Wels: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Wolfsberger AC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.42

FCH 3 of 5 (60%) · WOL 3 of 6 (50%)56.7%

FC Hertha Wels: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Wolfsberger AC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Wolfsberger AC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Hertha Wels); Wolfsberger AC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs FC Hertha Wels); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.7%

FC Hertha Wels goals →

Wolfsberger AC goals ↓

0-06%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-41.0%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC HERTHA WELSLDWLLWLDLW1.10 PPG

WOLFSBERGER ACLLLLLDLDLD0.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC HERTHA WELS HOMExWOLFSBERGER AC AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME0.502.30CONCEDED A GAME2.0020%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.50CORNERS A GAME4.502.33CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.78POINTS A GAME0.50-1.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.20+1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.80.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.09LEAGUE GAMES10

FC Hertha Wels: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

72%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

FC HERTHA WELS OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

WOLFSBERGER AC OR DRAW

54%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC HERTHA WELSxWOLFSBERGER AC

6GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.402.67CONCEDED A GAME2.003.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.483%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%67%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Hertha Wels have scored in 100% of their games.

Wolfsberger AC have scored in 50% of their games.

FC Hertha Wels kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Wolfsberger AC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards