Al-Shamal vs Al Hilal SFC
Match details. Sa1, League Phase - 3. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 19:15 Lagos time. It is played at Al-Khwar Stadium, Al-Khor. The referee is Kassem Matar Al Hatmi.
What's at stake. Al-Shamal are 11th on 2 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Al Quwa Al Jawiya, level on points with Pakhtakor. A win would take them above Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Al Hilal SFC are 4th on 6 points after 2 games, level on points with Esteghlal FC, level on points with Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. A win would take them above Esteghlal FC.
Form. Al-Shamal have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. In this competition Al-Shamal have gone D D. Al Hilal SFC have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Al Hilal SFC have gone W W.
The numbers. Al-Shamal score 1.7 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Al-Shamal average 11.3 shots (3.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Al Hilal SFC score 3.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Al Hilal SFC average 18.9 shots (6.6 on target), 7.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
The read. Al Hilal SFC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Hilal SFC the likelier winners; Al Hilal SFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Hilal SFC. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Al Hilal SFC at 1.27, 81% on the records (Al Hilal SFC unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; Al-Shamal failed to win 4 of 6 at home). Backup: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Al Hilal SFC at 1.27. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al-Shamal 1-2 Al Hilal SFC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).