Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Esteghlal FC Tehran
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 3. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Al-Rashid Stadium, Dubai.
Form. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. Esteghlal FC Tehran have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W.
The numbers. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai average 11.6 shots (5.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Esteghlal FC Tehran score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Esteghlal FC Tehran average 3.6 shots (2.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 49%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 84% on the records (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Esteghlal FC Tehran: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-1 Esteghlal FC Tehran (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).