Ratchaburi FC vs Kashiwa Reysol
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 3. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 13:15 Lagos time. It is played at Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi.
Form. Ratchaburi FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. Kashiwa Reysol have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.
The numbers. Ratchaburi FC score 2.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Ratchaburi FC average 10.6 shots (4.8 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Kashiwa Reysol score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Kashiwa Reysol average 13.3 shots (6.3 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Ratchaburi FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Kashiwa Reysol to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kashiwa Reysol the likelier winners; Kashiwa Reysol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kashiwa Reysol. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Kashiwa Reysol at 1.12, 83% on the records (Kashiwa Reysol unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Ratchaburi FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Kashiwa Reysol Over 1.5 goals (Ratchaburi FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Ratchaburi FC 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).